Case-Shiller Home Price Index Update: Insights for Colorado, Texas, and Florida Real Estate Agents


The most recent S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, released on August 26, 2025, and covering data through June 2025, offers a clear snapshot of national and regional trends. 

From May to June, nationwide home values saw a modest 0.1% increase before seasonal adjustment. After adjusting for seasonal trends, prices slipped by 0.3%. Compared to a year ago, home values are up 1.9%, with the 20-City Index mirroring this with a 2.1% annual gain and a -0.3% monthly drop (SA). This data, reflecting a three-month average of April, May, and June closings, highlights a shift toward stabilization (see the attached chart for details).



Let’s dive into how this impacts our key states—Colorado, Texas, and Florida—based on the latest year-over-year changes from the 20-City Composite, where applicable, and broader trends.

Colorado: Denver’s Market Cools

In the Denver-Aurora-Lakewood metro, part of the 20-City Index, home prices have shown signs of softening. While exact statewide data isn’t isolated, Denver’s trend suggests a statewide moderation, with recent months indicating a pullback from earlier gains.

For Colorado agents, this cooling—potentially aligning with the national -0.3% month-over-month drop—opens doors for buyers. It’s a prime opportunity to steer clients toward properties that build long-term wealth. At Efficient Lending, we focus on low-cost mortgages tailored to your clients’ needs, helping them secure homes and equity even as prices stabilize.

Texas: Dallas Leads a Gradual Slowdown

Dallas-Fort Worth, also in the 20-City Index, reflects Texas’s broader market trend. The state’s year-over-year growth has tapered, with Dallas showing a modest decline in recent monthly data, consistent with the national -0.3% (SA) shift.

Texas agents can leverage this buyer-friendly environment, especially for first-time homeowners and investors.

I’m passionate about explaining the nuances of mortgage options, ensuring transparency and trust. With Efficient Lending’s low-cost solutions, we empower your clients to turn this market shift into a foundation for generational wealth.

Florida: Miami Holds Steady Amid Cooling

Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, another 20-City Index metro, indicates Florida’s resilience with a slower decline compared to other regions.

The statewide market likely mirrors this, with the national -0.3% month-over-month trend suggesting stabilization rather than a sharp drop.

For Florida agents, this is a chance to highlight durable neighborhoods and educate clients on legacy-building through real estate.

What This Means for You and Your Clients

The attached Case-Shiller chart underscores a market in transition: positive year-over-year growth (1.9% nationally, 2.1% for the 20-City Index) masks monthly declines (-0.3% SA), pointing to a normalization post-boom. For agents, this is a golden opportunity to position yourselves as trusted advisors, using data to craft winning strategies.

At Efficient Lending, Inc. (NMLS: 1876539), we share your dedication to understanding clients’ needs with integrity and transparency. Whether it’s a purchase in Colorado’s foothills, a refinance in Texas, or an investment in Florida’s coast, our low-cost mortgages help build wealth and legacy.

I love building relationships—call me to explore how we can collaborate on your next deal.

For deeper insights, tune into my podcast, Mosaic: The Stories of Real Estate, where we explore strategies for generational wealth.

Visit my WEBSITE for tailored mortgage resources.

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Let’s create lasting partnerships and successful outcomes together.

Michael F Nelson, CEO - Efficient Lending, Inc
720.419.3016 or mike@efficientlending.net or @mike_lending
NMLS: 1876539  NMLS: 1314188

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Mike will get back to you with how we can collaborate.

* Specific loan program availability and requirements may vary. Please get in touch with your mortgage advisor for more information.